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Nov 21, 2012
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you have big issues and changes in nevada that helped the president again to carry nevada. tell me about what your first, first objective is and in particular the fiscal cliff. >> absolutely. and thank you for having us on. our first priority here is focusing on job creation. you know, working across party lines with the president to get things done that need to get done like putting people back to work. the voters spoke very clearly in this election. that they want partisanship to be put aside. they want republicans and independents and democrats to work together to move our country forward, to grow our economy, to protect medicare and social security. as well as to balance the budget in a way that protects the middle class and the working poor and that's what i'm looking forward to do with my colleagues. >> of course, there's -- there are a lot of trade-offs to be made and compromises to be made. i may be among the first to congratulate you. >> thank you. >> congratulations to both of you. what are you willing to commit to if you get the tax cuts the president and party i
you have big issues and changes in nevada that helped the president again to carry nevada. tell me about what your first, first objective is and in particular the fiscal cliff. >> absolutely. and thank you for having us on. our first priority here is focusing on job creation. you know, working across party lines with the president to get things done that need to get done like putting people back to work. the voters spoke very clearly in this election. that they want partisanship to be put...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida particularly, you have some really controversial candidates. one is very outspoken tea party republican allen west and the other is allen grayson, running to return to the house. >> any state that could elect either one is an accepting and forgiving electorate or they can't make up their minds. allen west has actually put up his opponent's mug shot from when he was 19 years old and that's unprecedented. most tea party representatives, no matter how controversial they are, will be re-elected. >> what about harry reid in nevada? we've seen that he has a machine in nevada and can deliver. >> he has spent
so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida...
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Nov 5, 2012
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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if you look at states like nevada and colorado, and virginia specifically northern virginia, and florida along the i-4 corridor, the changes to the electorate are facing the republican party in a stark way. president bush realized this and michael and his team and there was significant outreach to the latino community in understanding that the party needed to evolve in that some of those lessons were lost and the devicesive ideological primary that mitt romney made, proposed the dream act to beat rick perry has cost him in the election. there will be that conversation and a loud conversation in the republican party but look, that's what elections do. they teach you lessons. i think michael is right, the party will have that conversation internally and i believe they will be competitive moving forward because they don't have a choice. >> go ahead. >> i think it's a one-sided conversation because if you get 27% of the hispanic vote, you cease to be a national party moving forward. i think most smart republicans will get that. there will be disagreement on how you respond to that but this i
if you look at states like nevada and colorado, and virginia specifically northern virginia, and florida along the i-4 corridor, the changes to the electorate are facing the republican party in a stark way. president bush realized this and michael and his team and there was significant outreach to the latino community in understanding that the party needed to evolve in that some of those lessons were lost and the devicesive ideological primary that mitt romney made, proposed the dream act to...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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the west has brought down the cooler temperatures through central california to southern portions of nevada. 48 right now in san francisco while 70 in phoenix. it won't last through the weekend. this culprit, this upper level low spinning over northern california, bringing rain showers to lower elevations and snowshowers, even moderate bursts of snow through the central and northern portions of the sierra. in the northwest we're okay. they're getting nailed in the northern rockies, the plume of moisture ahead of the storm system. winter storm warnings through all the mountains of utah and through montana where there's blizzard warnings in areas of northern portions of the state. notice in san diego, there's even a winter storm warning. as far as the snow totals expected, the northern portions of rockies is the bull's eye. the forecast is unsettled out periods of clouds and showers on and off throughout the day. >>> through the weekend this dips all the way down through even san diego, hopefully should clear out by sunday. >>> than. cia director petraeus on bengha benghazi. peyton's potentia
the west has brought down the cooler temperatures through central california to southern portions of nevada. 48 right now in san francisco while 70 in phoenix. it won't last through the weekend. this culprit, this upper level low spinning over northern california, bringing rain showers to lower elevations and snowshowers, even moderate bursts of snow through the central and northern portions of the sierra. in the northwest we're okay. they're getting nailed in the northern rockies, the plume of...
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Nov 1, 2012
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now have it, which is in those eight states, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a challenge which is florida, north carolina, and colorado. if he can win those three, and i think he's got a decent chance in all, although the president hasn't given up on colorado and florida, then he needs to find a couple other -- a couple of options, one is to just win ohio. if he can't win ohio, and virginia also, he needs to win virginia also, okay, if he can't win ohio he needs to find another way. states of the three polls you showed as well as pennsylvania, michigan, he needs to offset a loss in ohio. ohio's the simplest an
now have it, which is in those eight states, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney...
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Nov 2, 2012
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>> well, i think that you've got about -- i don't buy the michigan nevada pennsylvania wisconsin are still in play. i don't think those outcomes are still in doubt. i think obama will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for the candidate that needs the 18% and that's president obama. so, i think the popular vote -- i think it's tied. i think we could easily see romney win the popular vote, but the electoral college i still think -- i would put a finger on the scale towards president obama. >> chris cizilla, if president obama wins, how much of an impact do you think that the hurricane and his leadership role, being seen with chris christie, you know, showing up with fema, how much do you think that may have had an impact, because it stopped whatever momentum mitt romney may have been enjoying. >> i would say i think the race is kind of upset. mitt romn
>> well, i think that you've got about -- i don't buy the michigan nevada pennsylvania wisconsin are still in play. i don't think those outcomes are still in doubt. i think obama will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for the candidate that needs the 18%...
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Nov 5, 2012
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. >> i don't know what he was doing in nevada while people are still being discovered dead in new york. >> the greatest country in the history of the world and our growth is at 1.2%. he should resign. >>. >> first of all the ad is accurate. bill clinton was in pennsylvania talking a about it. >> you're the only two that think it's accurate. >> they figured out that jeep is owned by chrysler then by fiat. so the charge began, the president is working with the italians. few days ago, come out for the irish, and i'm toast. >> new polls show both candidates are neck and neck. the latest and last nbc news/"wall street journal" poll before election day shows the race in a statistical tie nationallyp in ohio the state that may ultimately determine the outcome of the race, the two candidates are within the margin of error with the edge going to the president. joining us now from chicago, obama for america deputy campaign manager, stephanie cutter. it's a pleasure to have you on the program. >> thanks for having me. >> so, we played a little sound that i think would make the case the romney cam
. >> i don't know what he was doing in nevada while people are still being discovered dead in new york. >> the greatest country in the history of the world and our growth is at 1.2%. he should resign. >>. >> first of all the ad is accurate. bill clinton was in pennsylvania talking a about it. >> you're the only two that think it's accurate. >> they figured out that jeep is owned by chrysler then by fiat. so the charge began, the president is working with the...
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Nov 7, 2012
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but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two candidates. we're going to take a quick break. comments are expected from mitt romney. now with the romney campaign refusing to concede ohio w to happen. we'll keep you posted. we'll be right back. cf:$ >>>arack obama. still up in theve. colorado for president obama. steve schmidt, what do you think? this is one more move towards maybe not needing ohio. >> this is another state whenp& you look at the numbers in colorado see the impacti mitt romney in a very bad way in that state. republicans had high hopes in colorado. >> we're getting all of this now and we still haven't heard from virginia yet and we ha
but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two...
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Nov 6, 2012
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least two of those three, probably three of those three so when we go westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important thing. i also think a clean result, in that it's very clear one side or the other. you might not like the result, but it's clear more people voted and more electoral votes went to one of the two candidates. i think that's probably a good thing for whether you're a partisan on the left or right. >> don't forget, house races, senate races, governor races, ballot initiatives, a lot to vote for. take your time and vote. that does it for us on this edition on election day on andrea mitt he chel reports. next stephanie cutter and chris van hollen and my xlej subpoena here next. make sure you vote. we'll be here all
least two of those three, probably three of those three so when we go westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important...
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i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big numbers and it's been really hard to tell where they're at, because they haven't been very vocal, but if they turn out in big numbers, i think mitt romney could get the state. i don't expect him to. >> i would expect him to turn out in big n
i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that...
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Nov 6, 2012
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and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if the margin is narrow. >> and the big question is especially for conservative, movement conservatives are going to be asking how did we lose this race? we will be asking the question that democrats and people that write for the new yorker were asking after you lost to george w. bush twice. let's go now to elijah cummings in baltimore, maryland. how's it going, buddy? how are you feeling? >> i feel great. >> are you going to guarantee that the president will carry maryland tonight? are you willing to step out on a limb? >> by at least 25 points. by at l
and then sharon engel in nevada. harry reid should be retired watching boxing matches. >> it's political malpractice on the part of the republicans if you want to be in leadership. >> even if the margin is narrow and obama wins subject tomorrow morning has got to be in many ways, we'll have many issues to cover, but politically the fate of the republican party. >> there's no doubt about it. >> demographically, ideologically and all the rest. it's in real trouble even if...
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Nov 12, 2012
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in only one of those races, in nevada, did the republican candidate prevail. rove's awful election night proved that you can't buy momentum or create it simply by decreeing it and that there's a boundary to what bluster accomplishes. the road he zoomed down in 2012 was toward a potentially diminished place in his party. john heilemann, go ahead. do you agree? >> well, there's -- >> what? say it! >> there's just a lot to say -- >> why do you have a problem with this? >> no, there's a lot to say about karl. i think in the senate races, look. karl did not choose the candidates in the senate races across the country. the outside groups that went into these congressional races, you're kind of stuck with who you've got. you didn't pick todd akin, richard mourdock, he didn't run the campaign of george allen in virginia. he's an independent expenditure. on some level those campaigns, you know, he could go in and try to provide air support, but you're not the strategist for those campaigns. you don't pick the candidate. the presidential race, there's no question this p
in only one of those races, in nevada, did the republican candidate prevail. rove's awful election night proved that you can't buy momentum or create it simply by decreeing it and that there's a boundary to what bluster accomplishes. the road he zoomed down in 2012 was toward a potentially diminished place in his party. john heilemann, go ahead. do you agree? >> well, there's -- >> what? say it! >> there's just a lot to say -- >> why do you have a problem with this?...
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Nov 4, 2012
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 1, 2012
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he kicks it off in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently
he kicks it off in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over...
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Nov 6, 2012
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polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if they're right, our republican pollster predict an obama win. able to push the white vote up to 76%. our pollsters believe that would mean a good night for mitt romney. one other thing we will know after tonight whether this election is actually over. both sides have already assem e assembled legal teams to handle any shenanigans. legal battles have already begun over in person absentee voting. the state's democratic party filed a lawsuit on sunday after voters complained of waiting in seven-hour lines to cast a ballot. >>> in ohio democrats are battling the secretar
polls close at 9:00 in wisconsin. 10:00 brings us iowa and nevada. something else to watch, the margins among whites and hispanics. doesn't the president break among 40% in white voters. can romney hold the president under 70% among hispanics. in our most recent poll, the president was only winning 38% of the white vote but was beating romney by 55 points among nonwhite voters. what is the racial composition of the electorate? it is assumed whites would make up just 7 2% of all voters. if...
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Nov 1, 2012
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having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you get health insurance, spaeskly whether you get birth control. my first time voting was amazing. before i was a girl. now i'm a woman. i went to the polling station, pulled back the curtain. i voted for barack obama. >> now, some conservatives and others have called this ad a little creepy, but what do you think? is it effective? >> well, you have to remember, it's a targeted ad. it has driven some people in the right crazy. it's targeted to snarky, urban, liberal women. to the virginity analogy is kind of apt for that. i think they think it was clever. she's been called the voice of her
having the governor of nevada, you know, that's kind of standard political stuff. i'm not sure how much that helps. >> we've just gotten some new numbers from visible measure, which is a tracking firm. there's a provocative obama ad that's gotten nearly 3 million views in the past week. i want to play a little clip. >> your first time shouldn't be with just anybody. you want to do it with a great guy. someone who really cares about and understands women. a guy who cares whether you...
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Nov 4, 2012
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leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt romney with needs to win 54 to 60% of the remaining votes in the states in order to drop into the victory. that's a huge lift. i think when you couple the fact that democratic base is much more fired up with the fact that obama for america has been organizing for the last four years. they keep talking about pennsylvania, you can't drop into pennsylvania the weekend before an election, and expect to tip the vote just by buying ads when you have the other team with a fantastic ground operation. >> drive by campaigning won't do it. when you look at pennsyl
leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt...
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Nov 7, 2012
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electorales seguÍan contando votos, una tormenta azota el noreste de estados unidos, los fuertes vientos y nevada, ponen en peligro la recuperaciÓn de sandy, un terremoto deja decenas de muertos y heridos en guatemala, se sintiÓ en el salvador y mÉxico, comenzamos. >>> este es su "noticiero univisiÓn" con jorge ramos y marÍa elena salinas. >>> muy buenas noches, barack obama fue reelegido como presidente en gran medida gracias al apoyo de votantes latinos, el 10% de votantes en todo el paÍs, fueron hispanos, ganÓ 7 de cada diez latinos voto por el presidente, 7 de cada diez, y mitt romney obtuvo el voto latino mÁs bajo en dÉcadas, incluyendo colorado, nevada, la florida, se hizo cierta la teorÍa, que nadie puede llegar a la casa blanca, sin el voto latino, mitt romney no pudo llegar, los latinos no votaron por Él, comenzamos con luis que sigue al presidente. >>> si algo dejÓ claro la victoria del presidente obama, que no hubiese sido posible sin el apoyo de hispanos, segÚn encuestas de salida de urna, una amplia mayorÍa el 71% votÓ por el presidente, el apoyo fue mÁs alto en estad
electorales seguÍan contando votos, una tormenta azota el noreste de estados unidos, los fuertes vientos y nevada, ponen en peligro la recuperaciÓn de sandy, un terremoto deja decenas de muertos y heridos en guatemala, se sintiÓ en el salvador y mÉxico, comenzamos. >>> este es su "noticiero univisiÓn" con jorge ramos y marÍa elena salinas. >>> muy buenas noches, barack obama fue reelegido como presidente en gran medida gracias al apoyo de votantes latinos, el...
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Nov 3, 2012
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nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has to either win in wisconsin which is also looking very much out of reach. or he has to figure out some other path of pennsylvania. i don't think it's credible but he's trying to do at least a head fake to figure out you some other path to get there. >> jonathan, to you. you might have thought that
nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state....
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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. >> we have a call to make coming out of nevada. let's go ahead and tell you what we know arace that the race is going to go t heller. this is something -- dean heller was a former congressman from appointed to this seat after john ens advance of this harshly critical senate ethics report on his ean heller is going to the winner there berk joining us in a momentida, a state we still have not been able to call yet. back in a moo